Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.013065 0.015208 0.017577 0.020388 0.023629 0.027248 0.031594
2025-12-28 0.010274 0.013145 0.016612 0.021097 0.026740 0.033594 0.042546
2026-01-04 0.008239 0.011443 0.015619 0.021443 0.029335 0.039635 0.054076
2026-01-11 0.006450 0.009641 0.014095 0.020730 0.030331 0.043675 0.063583
2026-01-18 0.005275 0.008421 0.013088 0.020465 0.031776 0.048394 0.074577
2026-01-25 0.004314 0.007316 0.012024 0.019877 0.032569 0.052174 0.084617
2026-02-01 0.003608 0.006469 0.011191 0.019465 0.033495 0.056177 0.095416
2026-02-08 0.003084 0.005821 0.010558 0.019246 0.034642 0.060592 0.107346
2026-02-15 0.002614 0.005182 0.009830 0.018726 0.035161 0.063966 0.117872
2026-02-22 0.002399 0.004973 0.009826 0.019482 0.038002 0.071625 0.136733
2026-03-01 0.002118 0.004586 0.009427 0.019430 0.039325 0.076693 0.151473
2026-03-08 0.001808 0.004086 0.008730 0.018690 0.039212 0.079053 0.161371
2026-03-15 0.001589 0.003745 0.008314 0.018473 0.040146 0.083604 0.176237
2026-03-22 0.001503 0.003684 0.008472 0.019478 0.043717 0.093780 0.203563
2026-03-29 0.001386 0.003532 0.008408 0.019991 0.046315 0.102283 0.228485
2026-04-05 0.001208 0.003200 0.007894 0.019423 0.046469 0.105688 0.243033
2026-04-12 0.001077 0.002964 0.007562 0.019223 0.047419 0.110900 0.262107
2026-04-19 0.000945 0.002699 0.007121 0.018696 0.047528 0.114250 0.277399
2026-04-26 0.000838 0.002483 0.006765 0.018320 0.047945 0.118332 0.294827
2026-05-03 0.000753 0.002310 0.006494 0.018120 0.048759 0.123419 0.315182
2026-05-10 0.000666 0.002115 0.006134 0.017633 0.048779 0.126599 0.331298
2026-05-17 0.000636 0.002085 0.006216 0.018348 0.052017 0.138030 0.369100
2026-05-24 0.000580 0.001966 0.006033 0.018300 0.053215 0.144480 0.395048